📊 Weekly NQ Trade Desk Self-Grade
NQ-only weekly audit for Jun 8–Jun 12, 2026 ET. Score reflects available horizon outcomes; raw GEX/options-positioning details remain internal.
Journal coverage: 130 reports seen lifetime; 42 unique weekly NQ reports evaluated; 164 graded horizon outcomes; 4 pending windows excluded.
Horizon Performance
| Horizon | Graded | Directional Accuracy | Target Hit | Invalidation Hit | Avg MFE | Avg MAE | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m | 41 | 48.8% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 99.1 pts | 72.8 pts | Weak edge |
| 60m | 41 | 51.2% | 26.8% | 14.6% | 121.1 pts | 119.3 pts | Weak edge |
| 120m | 41 | 48.8% | 34.1% | 17.1% | 155.2 pts | 190.3 pts | Weak edge |
| 240m | 41 | 46.3% | 39.0% | 19.5% | 210.8 pts | 254.2 pts | Weak edge |
Setup Types
| Type | Outcomes | Target Hit | Avg Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear/Neutral / balanced | 164 | 29.9% | 82.1 |
No-Trade Condition Quality
No explicit no-trade field exists in the journal. Proxy assessment uses weak directional/target evidence and elevated invalidation risk. Quality: Needs improvement.
Missing: formal no-trade labels, confidence score, stop distance, and R-multiple fields.
Data Completeness
Available: grade, trend proxy, stretched flag, support/resistance hits, MFE/MAE, horizon moves. Missing: explicit setup taxonomy, R multiple, sizing, slippage, and execution outcomes. Pending windows this week: 4.
What Worked
- Automated journal and grading pipeline produced a usable weekly audit without exposing raw positioning internals.
- Best available setup bucket: Bear/Neutral / balanced with 29.9% target-hit rate.
- Longer horizon rows highlight whether calls matured beyond first-noise reactions.
What Failed
- Formal R-multiple, stop-distance, and execution/slippage fields are still missing from the journal.
- Worst available setup bucket: Bear/Neutral / balanced with 29.9% target-hit rate.
- Repeated pending rows in the raw grade log require deduplication during dashboard aggregation.
Adjustments for Next Week
- Log explicit setup type, confidence, stop distance, target distance, and R multiple for every report.
- Penalize or suppress setup buckets whose target-hit rate falls below 40% over the rolling week.
- Keep raw GEX/options details internal, but add a simple confluence tag for post-trade scoring.
- Favor 120m/240m evidence over 30m noise when weekly horizon results diverge.