Automated Quant Journal
Nasdaq futures / NQ-only desk review
Week: Jun 15–Jun 19, 2026 ET
Performance terminal

📊 Weekly NQ Trade Desk Self-Grade

NQ-only weekly audit for Jun 15–Jun 19, 2026 ET. Score reflects available horizon outcomes; raw GEX/options-positioning details remain internal.

Journal coverage: 174 reports seen lifetime; 42 unique weekly NQ reports evaluated; 140 graded horizon outcomes; 28 pending windows excluded.

Setups graded
42
Unique weekly NQ reports; 140 graded horizons
A/B outcome rate
13.6%
19 of 140 graded outcomes
Target-hit rate
51.4%
Directional target level reached before horizon close
Invalidation / stop-hit
0.0%
Opposing level touched across graded horizons
Directional accuracy
55.0%
Move direction aligned with call bias proxy
Avg MFE
80.4 pts
Average favorable excursion where available
Avg MAE
82.5 pts
Average adverse excursion where available
Avg R multiple
Missing
Risk unit / trade sizing not present in journal

Horizon Performance

Directional accuracy, target hits, invalidations, and excursions by forecast horizon. Labels include status text and do not rely on color alone.
HorizonGradedDirectional AccuracyTarget HitInvalidation HitAvg MFEAvg MAEAssessment
30m3655.6%44.4%0.0%50.5 pts46.5 ptsWeak edge
60m3554.3%48.6%0.0%65.5 pts63.6 ptsWeak edge
120m3554.3%54.3%0.0%89.7 pts93.2 ptsWeak edge
240m3455.9%58.8%0.0%117.6 pts129.0 ptsWeak edge

Setup Types

Best and worst setup buckets from available fields.
TypeOutcomesTarget HitAvg Score
Bull / balanced14051.4%65.1

No-Trade Condition Quality

No explicit no-trade field exists in the journal. Proxy assessment uses weak directional/target evidence and elevated invalidation risk. Quality: Acceptable.

Missing: formal no-trade labels, confidence score, stop distance, and R-multiple fields.

Data Completeness

Available: grade, trend proxy, stretched flag, support/resistance hits, MFE/MAE, horizon moves. Missing: explicit setup taxonomy, R multiple, sizing, slippage, and execution outcomes. Pending windows this week: 28.

What Worked

  • Automated journal and grading pipeline produced a usable weekly audit without exposing raw positioning internals.
  • Best available setup bucket: Bull / balanced with 51.4% target-hit rate.
  • Longer horizon rows highlight whether calls matured beyond first-noise reactions.

What Failed

  • Formal R-multiple, stop-distance, and execution/slippage fields are still missing from the journal.
  • Worst available setup bucket: Bull / balanced with 51.4% target-hit rate.
  • Repeated pending rows in the raw grade log require deduplication during dashboard aggregation.

Adjustments for Next Week

  • Log explicit setup type, confidence, stop distance, target distance, and R multiple for every report.
  • Penalize or suppress setup buckets whose target-hit rate falls below 40% over the rolling week.
  • Keep raw GEX/options details internal, but add a simple confluence tag for post-trade scoring.
  • Favor 120m/240m evidence over 30m noise when weekly horizon results diverge.