Performance terminal

📊 Weekly NQ Trade Desk Self-Grade

NQ-only weekly audit for Jun 22–Jun 26, 2026 ET. Score reflects available horizon outcomes; raw GEX/options-positioning details remain internal.

Journal coverage: 228 reports seen lifetime; 51 unique weekly NQ reports evaluated; 200 graded horizon outcomes; 4 pending windows excluded.

Setups graded

Unique weekly NQ reports; 200 graded horizons

A/B outcome rate

17.0%

34 of 200 graded outcomes

Target-hit rate

57.5%

Directional target level reached before horizon close

Invalidation / stop-hit

8.0%

Opposing level touched across graded horizons

Directional accuracy

46.0%

Move direction aligned with call bias proxy

Avg MFE

103.7 pts

Average favorable excursion where available

Avg MAE

179.5 pts

Average adverse excursion where available

Avg R multiple

Missing

Risk unit / trade sizing not present in journal

Horizon Performance

Directional accuracy, target hits, invalidations, and excursions by forecast horizon. Labels include status text and do not rely on color alone.
Horizon	Graded	Directional Accuracy	Target Hit	Invalidation Hit	Avg MFE	Avg MAE	Assessment
30m	51	52.9%	51.0%	5.9%	51.0 pts	114.2 pts	Weak edge
60m	51	49.0%	52.9%	5.9%	76.1 pts	155.2 pts	Weak edge
120m	50	38.0%	62.0%	8.0%	125.3 pts	202.5 pts	Weak edge
240m	48	43.8%	64.6%	12.5%	166.7 pts	250.8 pts	Weak edge

Setup Types

Best and worst setup buckets from available fields.
Type	Outcomes	Target Hit	Avg Score
Bear/Neutral / balanced	140	67.9%	77.1
Bull / balanced	60	33.3%	56.2

No-Trade Condition Quality

No explicit no-trade field exists in the journal. Proxy assessment uses weak directional/target evidence and elevated invalidation risk. Quality: Needs improvement.

Missing: formal no-trade labels, confidence score, stop distance, and R-multiple fields.

Data Completeness

Available: grade, trend proxy, stretched flag, support/resistance hits, MFE/MAE, horizon moves. Missing: explicit setup taxonomy, R multiple, sizing, slippage, and execution outcomes. Pending windows this week: 4.

What Worked

Automated journal and grading pipeline produced a usable weekly audit without exposing raw positioning internals.
Best available setup bucket: Bear/Neutral / balanced with 67.9% target-hit rate.
Longer horizon rows highlight whether calls matured beyond first-noise reactions.

What Failed

Formal R-multiple, stop-distance, and execution/slippage fields are still missing from the journal.
Worst available setup bucket: Bull / balanced with 33.3% target-hit rate.
Repeated pending rows in the raw grade log require deduplication during dashboard aggregation.

Adjustments for Next Week

Log explicit setup type, confidence, stop distance, target distance, and R multiple for every report.
Penalize or suppress setup buckets whose target-hit rate falls below 40% over the rolling week.
Keep raw GEX/options details internal, but add a simple confluence tag for post-trade scoring.
Favor 120m/240m evidence over 30m noise when weekly horizon results diverge.