Performance terminal

📊 Weekly NQ Trade Desk Self-Grade

NQ-only weekly audit for Jun 29–Jul 3, 2026 ET. Score reflects available horizon outcomes; raw GEX/options-positioning details remain internal.

Journal coverage: 288 reports seen lifetime; 57 unique weekly NQ reports evaluated; 188 graded horizon outcomes; 40 pending windows excluded.

Setups graded

Unique weekly NQ reports; 188 graded horizons

A/B outcome rate

19.1%

36 of 188 graded outcomes

Target-hit rate

47.3%

Directional target level reached before horizon close

Invalidation / stop-hit

21.3%

Opposing level touched across graded horizons

Directional accuracy

42.0%

Move direction aligned with call bias proxy

Avg MFE

109.4 pts

Average favorable excursion where available

Avg MAE

122.3 pts

Average adverse excursion where available

Avg R multiple

Missing

Risk unit / trade sizing not present in journal

Horizon Performance

Directional accuracy, target hits, invalidations, and excursions by forecast horizon. Labels include status text and do not rely on color alone.
Horizon	Graded	Directional Accuracy	Target Hit	Invalidation Hit	Avg MFE	Avg MAE	Assessment
30m	48	56.2%	41.7%	16.7%	68.7 pts	64.9 pts	Weak edge
60m	47	48.9%	44.7%	19.1%	91.6 pts	93.7 pts	Weak edge
120m	47	38.3%	51.1%	23.4%	122.7 pts	140.2 pts	Weak edge
240m	46	23.9%	52.2%	26.1%	156.6 pts	193.2 pts	Weak edge

Setup Types

Best and worst setup buckets from available fields.
Type	Outcomes	Target Hit	Avg Score
Bear/Neutral / balanced	44	52.3%	80.9
Bull / balanced	144	45.8%	63.8

No-Trade Condition Quality

No explicit no-trade field exists in the journal. Proxy assessment uses weak directional/target evidence and elevated invalidation risk. Quality: Needs improvement.

Missing: formal no-trade labels, confidence score, stop distance, and R-multiple fields.

Data Completeness

Available: grade, trend proxy, stretched flag, support/resistance hits, MFE/MAE, horizon moves. Missing: explicit setup taxonomy, R multiple, sizing, slippage, and execution outcomes. Pending windows this week: 40.

What Worked

Automated journal and grading pipeline produced a usable weekly audit without exposing raw positioning internals.
Best available setup bucket: Bear/Neutral / balanced with 52.3% target-hit rate.
Longer horizon rows highlight whether calls matured beyond first-noise reactions.

What Failed

Formal R-multiple, stop-distance, and execution/slippage fields are still missing from the journal.
Worst available setup bucket: Bull / balanced with 45.8% target-hit rate.
Repeated pending rows in the raw grade log require deduplication during dashboard aggregation.

Adjustments for Next Week

Log explicit setup type, confidence, stop distance, target distance, and R multiple for every report.
Penalize or suppress setup buckets whose target-hit rate falls below 40% over the rolling week.
Keep raw GEX/options details internal, but add a simple confluence tag for post-trade scoring.
Favor 120m/240m evidence over 30m noise when weekly horizon results diverge.