12122024.com
NQ Evidence Board
Generated Oct 31, 2026 01:00 UTC

Evidence-quality warning

Legacy directional/forecast context — not execution performance. Old letters, target/range touches and raw excursions do not prove fills, stop-versus-target ordering, profit or a strategy edge. Negative legacy excursions are not valid risk statistics.

Forward paper evidence collection

Status: summary_available. Saved counts: {"ambiguous": 0, "cancelled": 0, "confirmations_recorded": 0, "confirmed": 0, "expired": 0, "matched_resolved": 0, "open": 0, "report_only": 38, "reports": 38, "ungradable": 0, "unsupported_watches": 0, "untriggered": 0, "unverified": 0, "watches": 0}. Paper only; missing trigger, compatible complete price-path or cost evidence stays ungraded. No live continuous monitor or trade win rate is implied.

Legacy forecast archive

NQ Evidence Board

Historical forecast-context diagnostics only. The statistics below are not verified trade outcomes, realized P&L or evidence for changing live risk.

Latest Weekly ReportJournal IndexChartsModules
Deduped reports
963
963 raw report snapshots stored
Rolling A/B rate
35.0%
84 of 240 recent outcomes
Directional accuracy
45.8%
Move aligned with bias proxy
Invalidation rate
18.3%
Opposing key level touched
Target-hit rate
34.6%
Directional target touched
Avg model score
72.4
A=100, B=85, C=70, D=50, F=30
Avg MFE
55.6 pts
Recent favorable excursion
Avg MAE
61.0 pts
Recent adverse excursion

Daily process score

Daily average model score10002026-09-20: 95.02026-09-21: 94.42026-09-22: 81.02026-09-23: 58.82026-09-24: 76.72026-09-25: 73.62026-09-27: 64.22026-09-28: 68.82026-09-29: 68.82026-09-30: 85.02026-10-01: 73.12026-10-02: 87.52026-10-04: 100.02026-10-05: 82.72026-10-06: 89.42026-10-07: 73.12026-10-08: 70.42026-10-09: 73.62026-10-11: 75.02026-10-12: 66.22026-10-13: 82.92026-10-14: 78.32026-10-15: 65.42026-10-16: 65.02026-10-18: 75.02026-10-19: 76.22026-10-20: 70.42026-10-21: 72.62026-10-22: 74.22026-10-23: 73.309-2009-2309-2709-3010-0410-0710-1110-1410-1810-21

Directional accuracy trend

Daily directional accuracy %10002026-09-20: 100.02026-09-21: 97.62026-09-22: 70.82026-09-23: 25.02026-09-24: 58.32026-09-25: 55.62026-09-27: 33.32026-09-28: 37.52026-09-29: 50.02026-09-30: 75.02026-10-01: 50.02026-10-02: 83.32026-10-04: 100.02026-10-05: 79.22026-10-06: 54.22026-10-07: 50.02026-10-08: 45.82026-10-09: 55.62026-10-11: 50.02026-10-12: 37.52026-10-13: 33.32026-10-14: 79.22026-10-15: 45.82026-10-16: 66.72026-10-18: 0.02026-10-19: 54.22026-10-20: 45.82026-10-21: 44.42026-10-22: 45.82026-10-23: 22.209-2009-2309-2709-3010-0410-0710-1110-1410-1810-21

Target-hit trend

Daily target-hit %10002026-09-20: 100.02026-09-21: 100.02026-09-22: 91.72026-09-23: 12.52026-09-24: 0.02026-09-25: 0.02026-09-27: 0.02026-09-28: 0.02026-09-29: 0.02026-09-30: 37.52026-10-01: 20.82026-10-02: 100.02026-10-04: 100.02026-10-05: 100.02026-10-06: 75.02026-10-07: 12.52026-10-08: 0.02026-10-09: 0.02026-10-11: 0.02026-10-12: 0.02026-10-13: 25.02026-10-14: 87.52026-10-15: 79.22026-10-16: 83.32026-10-18: 0.02026-10-19: 0.02026-10-20: 0.02026-10-21: 0.02026-10-22: 45.82026-10-23: 61.109-2009-2309-2709-3010-0410-0710-1110-1410-1810-21

Invalidation trend

Daily invalidation %10002026-09-20: 0.02026-09-21: 0.02026-09-22: 0.02026-09-23: 0.02026-09-24: 0.02026-09-25: 44.42026-09-27: 0.02026-09-28: 87.52026-09-29: 58.32026-09-30: 0.02026-10-01: 29.22026-10-02: 0.02026-10-04: 0.02026-10-05: 0.02026-10-06: 0.02026-10-07: 0.02026-10-08: 29.22026-10-09: 0.02026-10-11: 0.02026-10-12: 75.02026-10-13: 62.52026-10-14: 4.22026-10-15: 25.02026-10-16: 0.02026-10-18: 0.02026-10-19: 0.02026-10-20: 4.22026-10-21: 11.12026-10-22: 0.02026-10-23: 0.009-2009-2309-2709-3010-0410-0710-1110-1410-1810-21

Setup buckets

Setup buckets by avg scoreBear/Neutral / balanced73.1Bull / balanced69.6

Key-level module scores

Module average scoresession key levels73.5primary htf key levels73.3ten am open levels72.8

Current board snapshot

Updated: 2026-10-23 15:55:00 UTC

Bias: See latest report

Confidence: —

Primary edge filter

HTF/session levels first: 30m/1h/4h candle edges, ONH/ONL, prior RTH POC/VAH/VAL. Delayed data is context only.

Missing fields to add later

True execution fills, stop distance, target distance, R multiple, no-trade labels, and screenshot tags.

Horizon performance

HorizonGradedDirectionalTargetInvalidAvg MFEAvg MAE
15m8045.0%30.0%16.2%40.5 pts43.7 pts
30m8045.0%35.0%17.5%53.7 pts59.7 pts
60m8047.5%38.8%21.2%72.7 pts79.4 pts

Setup buckets

TypeOutcomesTarget HitAvg Score
Bear/Neutral / balanced19542.6%73.1
Bull / balanced450.0%69.6

Key-level modules

ModuleOutcomesDirectionalAvg ScoreAvg MFEAvg MAE
session key levels12055.8%73.543.0 pts50.6 pts
primary htf key levels12048.3%73.374.1 pts34.6 pts
ten am open levels12046.7%72.858.8 pts19.6 pts